Euro Area Inflation Pressures Balanced; Higher Long-end Yields a Concern
The decision to keep rates on hold last week confirms the ECB remains in wait-and-see mode. With inflation around 2%,
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Dennis Shen
08:21
Federal Reserve Runs Risk of Loosening Before Inflation Is Contained
The Fed’s expected 25bp rate cut today appears premature given headline inflation of 2.9%, an economy still expanding at around
Dennis Shen
02:21
Five Reasons Why Trump’s Trade War Is Likely to Escalate
Buoyant markets, a resilient US economy, customs revenues, appeasement by trading partners and conducive politics point to further escalation in
Dennis Shen
00:19
US-EU Trade Agreement Ensures Only Modest Blow to the Sluggish European Economy
The United States-European Union trade deal ensures euro area and EU growth will remain relatively resilient this year even though
Dennis Shen
21:20
Fragile Middle East Truce Heightens Geo-political, Macroeconomic Risks, Including for Europe
The Israel-Iran truce fails to permanently reduce geo-political uncertainties weighing on an already subdued economic outlook for Europe, but the
Dennis Shen
03:20
Global Economic Outlook: US, Europe Grow More Slowly Than Expected Amid Trade, Geopolitical Tensions
The US and European economies will expand more slowly in 2025 than previously forecast, contributing to more moderate global economic
Dennis Shen
01:27
Bulgaria Poised to Join the Euro: An Interview with Scope Ratings’ Dennis Shen
Bulgaria is due to become the 21st country to join the European single currency in January 2026. This Q&A explains
Dennis Shen
02:19
Bulgaria on Track to Adopt the Euro, Supporting the Economic Outlook
Bulgaria is on track to adopt the euro in January 2026, a development which would support the stability of the
Dennis Shen
11:25
US: Clear-cut Trump Victory Raises Medium-term Economic Risks Despite Reduction of Near-term Political Uncertainty
Donald Trump’s emphatic victory in the US presidential elections is a net negative for US risks over the medium run
Dennis Shen
07:34
Global Economic Outlook: A Resilient World Economy Faces US Election Test
The US and global economies remain resilient ahead of forthcoming US elections. However, Europe’s economic fragility poses challenges for its
